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Team Rocket's Moltres ex 031/182 Loading

It is technically good in that it is two cards, of which both are independently strong, and only five mana which can be split into a very convenient 2 then 3

Chart shows the price of Dark Confidant [Serialized] #323 at the end of each month going back as long as we have tracked the item.

(In order for the bottom card to not be Lightning Bolt, it needs to be the case that it isn't the known Lightning Bolt (probability 1/2) and the other card needs to not be a Lightning Bolt (probability 46/49), so the chance of both of those being true is simply their product.) I on the other hand saw both cards and know that the other one wasn't a Lightning Bolt, so I calculate the chance of the bottom card being Lightning Bolt as exactly 50%