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(In fact, weve so far already implicitly assumed some rudimentary player strategy: namely that if we can play a land, we do so.) If we're to account for all these different factors, its going to be practically impossible to get an analytical answer, i.e., an answer in the form of a neat little formula like the distribution function of the binomial or hypergeometric distribution

It represents one of Kaladesh's most striking aircraft fighting back against the New Phyrexian invasion, and is the flip-side reward of completing the Invasion of Kaladesh siege card

Normally, this means the token will simply be a Phoenix Fleet Airship, but if any copy effects have affected that Phoenix Fleet Airship, they're taken into account

I am also very engaged in the Arena Subreddit community, also happy to chat MTG